The Geopolitical Risk Matrix
This framework builds on my conversation with economist and author Neil Shearing, who maps the emerging geopolitical structural reality. His analysis clarifies how new economic blocs are forming and what that means for aligning corporate strategy, especially for companies making significant cross-border investments.
The old rules of global business strategy are breaking down. For three decades, the dominant question was simple: “Where can we produce most cheaply?” Today, that question has been superseded by a more fundamental one: “Which bloc are we in?”
The Geopolitical Risk Matrix is a practical tool designed to help businesses systematically assess their exposure and prioritize action. It translates the abstract concept of global fracturing into a concrete framework that any organization can use to map risk, identify vulnerabilities, and develop strategic responses.
This isn’t about predicting the future. It’s about stress-testing your business against a structural shift that’s already underway.



